May 2026

As we enter the final month of Autumn, the focus has been on the Federal Budget and interest rates.

April certainly brought a sharper edge to the economic outlook with the Middle East crisis, inflation, volatile markets and fragile consumer confidence continuing to weigh heavily on investors.

The sharp increase in petrol prices fuelled a jump in inflation for March to 4.6%, the largest jump in three years. Underlying price growth was steadier, with trimmed mean inflation holding at 3.3%, although still exceeding the Reserve Bank’s target range of 2-3%. Opinions are currently split on where interest rates are heading.

In the US, the Federal Reserve voted narrowly to keep rates on hold despite worsening economic conditions.

The ASX 200 was sliding downwards towards the end of the month with the Australian dollar also weaker but still trading near four-year highs.

The latest Westpac–Melbourne Institute survey showed sentiment falling, highlighting growing pressure on household budgets from fuel and borrowing costs.

Oil prices continued their stellar climb with Brent crude now at its highest level since 2022.

Federal Budget 2026-27 Analysis

Reform and resilience in uncertain times

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has framed the 2026 Federal Budget as “the most important and ambitious budget in decades”.

“This Budget is about getting us through the global oil shock and taking pressure off Australians while building a stronger economy, better tax system, a more sustainable budget and lifting living standards,” the Treasurer told Parliament.

With an overarching theme of ‘reform and resilience’, the Federal Government is aiming to shore up investor confidence at a time when the global economy teeters thanks to war in the Middle East and the disruption of global oil supplies. Despite the challenges, Treasury says Australia’s economy continues to grow faster than every major advanced economy.

For households and wage earners, the Budget delivers a mix of targeted cost-of-living relief and significant structural reform, particularly in tax and housing.

The big picture

At the headline level, the Budget forecasts an underlying cash deficit of $31.5 billion in 2026–27, an improvement of $2.8 billion on the mid‑year update, despite slower global growth and higher oil prices.

Economic growth is forecast to slow from 2.25 per cent this financial year to 1.75 per cent in 2026–27, reflecting weaker international conditions, before gradually strengthening over the medium term. Inflation is expected to rise temporarily in the June quarter to around 5 per cent driven largely by fuel and transport costs linked to the war‑driven global oil shock. Despite this near-term pressure, the Government continues to project a return to a balanced budget in the mid-2030s followed by modest surpluses.

The Treasurer maintains that budget repair is being driven primarily by savings and spending restraint, rather than broad-based tax increases.

From a policy perspective, the Budget rests on five pillars: managing the global oil shock; easing cost‑of‑living pressures; lifting productivity; reforming the tax system; and strengthening national resilience. Each has direct implications for household finances, superannuation, investment structures and long‑term planning.

The Treasurer has made clear that a major goal is to “rebalance the tax system” so that wage earners are not treated substantially differently from those who earn income through assets and investments.

While some measures will take years to flow through, the direction is to prioritise the national security, energy supply, productivity and care sectors, while accepting political risk, to strengthen the economy over the medium to long term.

Cost-of-living

The Government has been careful to structure cost-of-living measures so that they don’t meaningfully add to inflation. The most prominent initiative is the Working Australians Tax Offset, providing a $250 offset for more than 13 million employees from the 2027–28 income year.

In addition, workers will be able to claim a $1,000 instant tax deduction for work-related expenses from 2026–27, without the need to keep receipts.

Income tax thresholds will also be adjusted. From 1 July 2026, the 16 per cent tax rate, applying to income between $18,201 and $45,000, will be reduced to 15 per cent before falling further to 14 per cent from 1 July 2027.

The government will increase Medicare Levy low-income thresholds by 2.9 per cent from the 2025–26 income year, a change expected to benefit more than one million lower-income Australians who will remain exempt from the Levy or pay a reduced rate.

Productivity

Productivity comes in for renewed focus, reflecting concern that long-term improvements in living standards can’t be sustained without structural change. The Budget allocates funding aimed at reducing red tape by an estimated $10.2 billion per year, including faster environmental approvals and streamlined foreign investment processes.

Housing construction remains a central productivity priority. New funding for local infrastructure is designed to support up to 65,000 extra homes, alongside measures to fast‑track skilled migrant trades and improve construction capacity.

Investment in transport infrastructure also features prominently, with $8.6 billion committed to nationally significant road and rail projects, improving freight efficiency and workforce mobility particularly across the regions.

Taken together, these measures represent a shift toward capability building. For business owners and investors, the emphasis is on reducing friction, improving labour supply and supporting capital investment that lifts output over time rather than fuelling higher prices.

Tax reform

The most debated element of the Budget is the tax reform package directed at property investors and discretionary trusts.

From 1 July 2027, negative gearing will be limited to new housing, with existing arrangements grandfathered. At the same time, the 50 per cent capital gains tax (CGT) discount will be replaced with cost-base indexation, alongside a new minimum effective tax rate of 30 per cent on capital gains.

The CGT settings for super and self-managed super funds will remain unchanged, which means investors will continue to receive a CGT discount of 33.33 per cent for relevant assets held for over 12 months in super.

The Government argues these changes are essential to address intergenerational inequity and housing affordability, while continuing to support investors who add to new housing supply. Treasury modelling suggests a modest impact on rents over time, with savings redirected toward care services and tax relief for wage earners.

Trusts have also been brought into the Government’s tax reform agenda, with a new minimum 30 per cent tax rate to apply to discretionary trust distributions from 1 July 2028. The measure is aimed at improving integrity and reducing income‑splitting arrangements that allow some taxpayers to pay significantly less tax than wage earners on comparable incomes.

Housing affordability

The Treasurer aims to address housing shortages and affordability, by increasing total investment to $47 billion and supporting an estimated 75,000 additional Australians to achieve home ownership over the next decade through the tax reform package.

The Government claims around 65,000 additional homes will be delivered over 10 years through its support for new developments. A new $2 billion fund has been established to help local governments and state utilities build the infrastructure needed to support new housing.

To free up additional supply, the Government is extending the ban on foreign buyers purchasing established homes until mid-2029.

Aged care and health

Health and aged care receive significant additional funding as demand continues to rise. The Budget commits $25 billion in additional hospital funding over the medium term, alongside incentives to expand bulk billing and reduce strain on emergency departments.

The Government has confirmed further reductions in the cost of medicines, building on earlier PBS reforms, with cheaper scripts and faster access to newly listed drugs funded through additional PBS investment.

Aged care reform focuses on both supply and workforce sustainability. The Government will fund incentives to support construction of an additional 5,000 residential aged care beds per year by 2029.

The NDIS also features prominently, with continued efforts to rein in unsustainable cost growth and strengthen integrity. Measures include tightening eligibility, reducing rorting and redirecting funding towards participants with the highest needs.

Future proofing

The focus on national resilience is a defining characteristic of the Budget. Fuel security is front and centre following the global oil shock, with measures to secure domestic fuel reserves, reserve 20 per cent of gas exports for Australian use and provide concessional finance to logistics and manufacturing firms most exposed to price volatility.

Defence spending also rises sharply, with a record additional $53 billion committed over the coming decade. The focus is on readiness, supply chains and regional security, reflecting growing geopolitical risk in the Indo‑Pacific and beyond.

Looking ahead

The outlook remains uncertain. Treasury acknowledges the risk of further inflation spikes if global energy markets deteriorate, with worst-case scenarios still modelling inflation above 7 per cent and higher unemployment. But the central forecast avoids recession and assumes gradual improvement from late 2027 onward.

If you have any questions about how the 2026 Federal Budget may affect your personal finances, please contact us to discuss.

Information in this article has been sourced from the Budget Speech 2026-27 and Federal Budget Support documents.  

It is important to note that the policies outlined in this article are yet to be passed as legislation and therefore may be subject to change. 

2026-27 Federal Budget: The TAX take away

Jim Chalmers’ fifth Budget included significant tax reforms with the package billed as “the most significant tax reform package in more than a quarter of a century”.

While Australian workers and small businesses are likely to be happy, property investors and those with discretionary (family) trusts face new rules and tax rates that will require careful review.

The package was announced against a backdrop of global uncertainty and demographic change, with the Treasurer emphasising the tax reforms represent a key component in the government’s response to intergenerational inequality and challenges to national resilience.

Tax offset and instant deduction for individuals

Over 13 million workers will benefit from a new annual $250 Working Australians Tax Offset from 1 July 2028. This will increase the effective tax-free threshold for workers to $19,985.

The offset is in addition to announced cuts to the lowest tax rate on 1 July 2026 – when the rate drops to 15 per cent – and on 1 July 2027 (14 per cent).

The Budget included a new $1,000 instant tax deduction for work-related expenses from 2026-27, reducing paperwork requirements for employees claiming these deductions.

Incentives for business

With cash flow a key issue for smaller businesses, the Budget included measures to make the popular $20,000 instant asset write-off permanent from 1 July 2026.

It also permanently reinstated loss carry backs. From 2026-27, eligible companies making a loss in the current income year will be able to use the loss to obtain a refund against tax paid in the prior two income years.

From 2028-29, small start-ups will be able to access cash flow support through a refund for tax losses in their first two years of operation, up to the value of fringe benefits tax (FBT) and withholding tax paid on employee wages.

Businesses will gain flexibility to opt in to monthly PAYG instalments from 1 July 2027 and will receive a 25 per cent FBT discount for eligible electric cars over $75,000 from the same date.

Incentives for venture capital and R&D

From 1 July 2027, tax incentives for venture capital will be expanded through changes to the Early-Stage Venture Capital Limit Partnership and Venture Capital Limit Partnership programs.

The offset for experimental core R&D will also be increased by around 25 to 50 per cent, together with an increased turnover threshold for the refundable offset and a new $200 million maximum expenditure cap.

Negative gearing reforms

Two significant changes to existing tax rules for property investments were announced in the Budget.

Negative gearing will no longer be available for established residential properties from 1 July 2027. For all properties held prior to Budget night, the existing tax arrangements will remain unchanged.

Investors who purchase new builds will still be able to deduct their losses from other income.

Purchasers of established housing after the Budget announcement, however, will only be able to deduct losses against residential property income. Unused losses can be carried forward to future years but will no longer be deductible against other income (such as wages).

CGT discount rule changes

Another major change is replacement of the current 50 per cent capital gains tax discount with cost-based indexation from 1 July 2027.

The government is also introducing a minimum 30 per cent tax rate on capital gains starting on the same date.

The CGT change will only apply to gains arising after 1 July 2027, with investors in new builds given a choice of the 50 per cent CGT discount or the new arrangements.

Minimum tax rate for discretionary trusts

The tax change likely to generate the most criticism is a new minimum taxation rate of 30 per cent for discretionary trust distributions from 1 July 2028.

The new rate will not apply to fixed trusts, super funds, special disability trusts, deceased estates and some types of farming income.

Rollover relief will be available for three years from 1 July 2027 to assist small businesses and others wishing to restructure in light of the new rules.

Information in this article has been sourced from the Budget Speech 2026-27 and Federal Budget Support documents.  

It is important to note that the policies outlined in this article are yet to be passed as legislation and therefore may be subject to change. 

Protecting family ties in a growing business

Around 70 per cent of small businesses are family enterprises. That is a powerful reminder of how much trust, shared values and long-term commitment drives the small business sector. Family businesses often benefit from loyalty, resilience and a strong sense of purpose.

At the same time, mixing family and business can be complicated. Personal history, sibling dynamics and unspoken expectations can influence decisions in subtle ways and can create conflict. When you work with relatives, you are managing more than a business. You are managing relationships that matter deeply outside the workplace too.

The good news is that harmony is possible with the right structure.

Know the risks

In family businesses, emotions tend to sit closer to the surface than in a purely professional environment. A disagreement about strategy can quickly feel personal. Long standing family roles can quietly shape behaviour at work.

Confusion about responsibilities is also common. A spouse may help with the business, without the benefit of a clearly defined position. A child may assume leadership will automatically pass to them one day. Without clarity, assumptions grow and resentment can follow.

Recognising these risks early allows you to address them before they damage both the business and family relationships.

Set the rules

A Family Charter or Constitution is one of the most useful tools a family enterprise can create. This is a non-binding written agreement that sets out how the family, and the business, will work together.

It can define roles, ownership structures, and expectations for family members who join the company. It should also clarify how decisions are made and how disputes are handled. Agreeing in advance which decisions require consensus and who has final authority reduces power struggles and conflict down the track.

When emotions rise, you can refer to agreed processes rather than arguing about personalities.

Clarify roles

As well as defining how the family works together in the business, it can also help to have clarity around individual roles and responsibilities within the company, as unclear roles can be a major source of tension.

Ensure you have documented job descriptions, set performance guidelines and make reporting hierarchy obvious. Scheduling regular, formal reviews can be useful to set expectations and provide feedback in a professional setting.

It is also important to separate ownership from employment. Being a shareholder does not automatically qualify someone for a management role they may not be suited for. Setting fair entry requirements and standards protects both the business and the credibility of family members within it.

Professional conduct is also important, even if you have worked together for years, it helps to treat family members as colleagues, which can be challenging at times.

Talk it through

Healthy communication is essential and regular, structured meetings can help keep business discussions focused and productive.

Encourage neutral language in disagreements. Saying, “I disagree with this approach because…” keeps the focus on strategy. Phrases like “You always…” quickly turns discussions into personal attacks.

It also helps to stay in the present. Old family grievances rarely improve today’s business decisions.

Get outside help

When tensions run high, external support can make a significant difference. A mediator, consultant or advisory board can provide objectivity and guide difficult conversations, particularly around governance or succession.

Seeking outside help shows commitment to the long-term health of both the company and the family.

Plan ahead

Succession is one of the most sensitive issues in family businesses. If it is not discussed openly, it can create anxiety and competition.

Start conversations early. Be transparent about what leadership requires and how decisions will be made. In some cases, professional managers may lead the business while ownership remains in the family.

Clarity builds trust and reduces misunderstandings.

Set boundaries

Clear boundaries between work and home life are essential. Try to protect family time from constant business discussions and create moments where relationships come first.

If conflict escalates, temporary changes in responsibilities or reporting lines can help ease pressure. Preserving the relationship should always be a priority.

A strong future

Family businesses have unique strengths, including long term thinking and shared commitment. But harmony does not happen by chance. It comes from clear rules, defined roles, open communication and healthy boundaries.

By managing both the personal and professional relationships with care, you give your business the best chance to thrive for generations to come.

Retirement income options when markets are volatile

The income assumptions many have carried into retirement are being tested in the current economic climate.

Markets have lurched from one direction to another; interest rates have lifted faster than expected, with the possibility of more increases in the months ahead, and there’s no end in sight to the global uncertainty.

While the market shocks are interspersed with periods of relative calm, The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) warns that the disruption could pose challenges to our financial stability.ⁱ

Nonetheless, the RBA says Australia is “well placed” to handle the uncertain times.

For those heading into retirement and focused on income security rather than speculation, having a clear view of the different retirement income options can help.

Account-based pensions

One of the most common retirement income options is an account-based pension, often started using superannuation savings. Your money stays invested, and you draw a regular income from the account, choosing the payment amount (subject to minimum annual withdrawals set by law) and the investment mix.ⁱⁱ

The appeal here is flexibility. You can adjust payments and investment options, and the remaining balances can be left to beneficiaries in your will.

On the other hand, account-based pensions are directly exposed to market movements. So, when markets fall, your account balance may be affected. That could reduce your future income particularly if you continue withdrawals during a market downturn.

The risk is most significant in the early years of retirement. Losses combined with regular withdrawals can permanently reduce how long savings last, a challenge known as sequencing risk. Understandably, many retirees respond by spending less than they could afford, even when markets recover, simply to avoid the fear of running out of money later in life.ⁱⁱⁱ

Lifetime annuities

Annuities offer a different approach. In return for a lump sum investment, annuities pay a guaranteed income either for a fixed period or for the rest of your life. Because the payments are not linked to daily market values, they could deliver a strong sense of certainty, particularly when it comes to covering essential living costs.^iv

Some annuities provide fixed payments, some increase with inflation and others offer income linked partly to investment markets while still guaranteeing payments for life. These alternative styles of annuities aim to balance stability with the potential for higher long‑term income.

Combining income streams

Rather than choosing between flexibility and certainty, retirees may benefit from using more than one income stream. This approach combines a guaranteed income source with a more flexible one.

For example, a lifetime annuity might be used to cover the basics such as housing, food and utilities, while an account‑based pension funds discretionary spending, travel or unexpected expenses. Research suggests this could lead to more stable income and greater confidence to spend, even when investment markets are volatile.^v

By making sure that your essential expenses are met regardless of market conditions, you may be less likely to panic or reduce spending during downturns.

The Age Pension

The Age Pension is an important part of the retirement income picture for many. It provides a government backed, inflation‑linked income that is not affected by market performance. For eligible retirees, it can act as a valuable safety net later in life, particularly if personal savings decline.

Some lifetime income products receive concessional treatment under the Age Pension assets test, which can improve eligibility or payment levels. Understanding how different income streams interact with Centrelink rules can affect retirement outcomes.^vi

Retirement income is about what fits, not forecasts

There is no single best retirement income option. Each comes with trade‑offs between flexibility, risk, growth potential and control. What matters most is how well an income strategy matches your spending needs, risk tolerance and desire for certainty.

The right structure, could help to reduce stress and support more confident spending in retirement. Uncertainty doesn’t have to mean insecurity.

Talk with us about structuring a retirement income approach that fits your priorities and your circumstances.

i The Global Macro-financial Environment | Financial Stability Review, March 2026 | RBA

ii Income streams | Australian Taxation Office

iii Which super funds offer income for life? | SuperGuide

iv, vi Income streams – Age Pension | Services Australia

v How product layering can support retirement outcomes | ASFA

Common scams to watch out for at EOFY

As the end of the financial year approaches, it’s a busy time for preparing your taxes, reviewing super, and getting your finances in order. Unfortunately, it’s also a peak period for scammers looking to take advantage of people and businesses who are focused on deadlines and end-of-year financial tasks.

EOFY creates the perfect environment for fraud. With refunds, payment reminders, super contributions, and updated financial documents all top of mind, scammers rely on urgency and distraction to trick people into handing over personal or financial information.

Knowing what to watch for can save you stress, money, and headaches. This guide highlights the most common EOFY scams and offers practical tips to help protect your finances before you act.

Fake ATO communications

A common scam involves messages pretending to be from the Australian Taxation Office. These can arrive as emails, text messages, or phone calls, claiming that a refund is due or that a tax debt must be paid immediately.

Scammers create urgency by threatening penalties, legal action, or freezing accounts. They often ask for payment via unusual methods like gift cards, cryptocurrency, or direct bank transfer. The ATO will never request payment in these ways.

Always verify suspicious communications independently. Do not click links or provide personal information in response to unexpected messages. If in doubt, search online to find the correct contact details.

Phishing emails targeting business owners

EOFY is a particularly high-risk time for businesses. Scammers often send emails that look like they come from payroll providers, accounting software platforms, banks, or even bookkeepers.

These emails may request login credentials, bank information updates, or contain attachments that install malware. Verify any unusual requests by calling the organisation using a trusted phone number. Never rely on the contact details or links provided in the email itself.

Even seemingly minor requests can be part of a larger scheme. A small error in payment details can lead to ongoing losses if scammers are able to redirect multiple invoices over time.

Invoice and payment redirection scams

Businesses finalising accounts are often targeted with fake invoices or intercepted invoices that have altered bank account details.

Because these payments are routine and expected, they can be processed without question. Always double-check any changes to payment details with the supplier before sending funds. A quick verification call can prevent significant financial loss.

It’s also wise to keep a consistent process for approving payments, including multiple checks or sign-offs for large amounts, to reduce the risk of falling victim to invoice scams.

Superannuation and investment scams

Scammers take advantage of EOFY financial reviews by promoting fake investment opportunities or superannuation schemes that promise high returns or tax advantages. Some even claim to help access super early to “avoid tax” or “invest better.”

Be cautious of unsolicited offers and guaranteed returns. Only consider changes to super or investments through verified and legitimate channels. Check any adviser or company through the official regulatory registers before taking any action.

Social media and SMS scams

Short text messages or social media ads claiming you are eligible for a tax refund are increasingly common. These often contain links to fake websites that collect personal information. Scammers may use official-looking logos, branding, and URLs to make the message appear legitimate.

Do not click on links from unexpected messages. Verify the legitimacy of any refund or offer through official websites and use secure channels for submitting sensitive information.

Staying safe

At EOFY, it’s important to slow down. Scammers rely on urgency. Messages that pressure you to take immediate action or threaten consequences are red flags. Verify first, act second.

Keep devices and software up to date, use strong and unique passwords, and enable two-factor authentication where possible. Keep an eye on your accounts for unusual activity and regularly review payment processes to make sure safeguards are in place.

EOFY should be a time to tidy up finances and plan for the year ahead. Protecting yourself from scams ensures that money stays where it belongs and that EOFY is a time for financial clarity, not stress.

For any questions or concerns about suspicious communications, talk to us. A quick check now can prevent problems later and give peace of mind while managing your EOFY finances.